Analysis: Why we sent the Patriot missiles to Karapathos

We posed four simple questions to General George Kampas, former Chief of the General Staff of the Hellenic Army, regarding Greece’s recent actions after the Iranian strike on Cyprus and the evolving situation in the war.

Why did we send a Patriot missile battery to Karapathos?

The island houses a large airport, which we are aiming to integrate into NATO’s planning, particularly the American one. We want to station aircraft in the area, including for exercises. The Turks believe we cannot operate in this region, which is why Karapathos can serve as an intermediate stop. Rhodes could also serve a similar role if necessary.

How do you assess Greece’s moves for Cyprus’ protection?

For the first time, the unified defense doctrine is being implemented in practice. The reactions from the Turks, who expressed discomfort, demonstrate the success of this initiative. Notably, the activation of the doctrine involved sending the most modern assets available from the Greek Armed Forces: the Kimon frigate, upgraded F-16s, and new weapon systems. We are demonstrating to the world that we are applying defensive tactics and assisting those around us, especially Cyprus.

What do you predict for the duration of the war?

The war will continue under certain conditions. The common goal for the US and Israel is the downfall of the Iranian regime. However, it is uncertain whether this will happen. The US and Israel have two possible plans for the aftermath. One is a succession plan, with the same leadership but a more moderate leader who could engage with the West. The second is the total change of the regime, with new leaders.

President Trump is seeking a way to justify the war. If the first two plans do not work, an “internal disruption” plan could be activated. We must not forget that Iran has large minority groups, primarily Kurds and Azerbaijanis, among others. This, however, will take time. How long the Iranians can withstand this remains unclear.

Do you consider Iran’s defense effective?

I don’t believe they are effectively defending themselves. They rely primarily on missiles. They lack air defense, air force, and a navy. Their defense is centered around missiles, in cooperation with Russia and China. They use their weapons sparingly. At the same time, they strike other countries to pressure the US to halt their attacks.